I still could not reliably reproduce it. It happens intermittently. Sometimes it happens when I’m dragging a window from another screen. Sometimes just triggered by mouse movement. Other times, the bug just fixes itself when I am maximizing a window.
In terms of GUI observation, What I noticed is that the padding for the application icons seems to become smaller. Maybe that is the one that causes the panel to shift position.
The buggy one:

The normal looking:

to my eye the “buggy” one looks normal and the other one looks stretched out somehow.
some theme effect or 3rd party addon that affected things.
I set the “Spacing between Icons” to large. I don’t remember installing any addon or theme, just used what came with nobara.
For now, I could not figure it out. I tried installing another theme, and it seemed to still occur. Now to avoid this issue, I just put the panel in the middle. so when extends or moves it would not be noticeable.
I have switch to cachyOS and have one monitor. Sometime the padding of the icons becomes too narrow. The Image below, is what I expect it would look like. But there will be times that the left and right padding would suddenly disappear.
